Is digital currency the future of money, and if so what does this mean?
Chief Executive Officer
The rapid advancement of technology since the latter half of the 20th century has created a revolution within a revolution: the Digital Revolution - the shift from mechanical and analogue electronic technology to digital electronics - has paved the way for an important change in the way we engage with currencies in the 21st century.
Back in 2009, a radical new way of making payments appeared out of the ether: Bitcoin - and so the first decentralised peer-to-peer payment system was born. The clamour around this pioneering innovation that bypasses regulators, provides privacy and delivers unprecedented returns on investments - not to mention a forward-thinking vision of financial markets - soon led to the creation of a novel set of payment services, known collectively as ‘cryptocurrencies’.
These cryptocurrencies' journey into the mainstream has been a turbulent one, however, often filling column inches for the wrong reasons - from suspicions that they are used to facilitate illicit activities to their notorious volatility. And while the road has not always been smooth for this controversial innovation, the blockchain technology that underpins it has been lauded, following the rapid expansion of its ecosystem.
This has led to cautious optimism that cryptocurrency’s evolution could contribute to the development and issuance of central bank-backed digital currencies – potentially making them a secure mainstream offering in the future. In fact it is already happening. The rise of cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin has caught the attention of increasingly tech-savvy central banks worldwide who are currently exploring a digital currency - while some countries, like China, are already trialling it.
Cryptocurrencies vs. digital currencies
It’s easy to assume that cryptocurrencies and digital currencies are the same thing, but there are distinct differences:
Sometimes referred to as digital coins, a cryptocurrency is a store of value secured by encryption. To trade cryptocurrency, you must exchange the digital coin via an online exchange to get cryptocurrency for the corresponding value.
Cryptocurrencies are typically decentralised, meaning regulations within the network are governed by the majority of the community. In the absence of a third party, there is no external authority over investors. Furthermore, cryptocurrencies are not anchored to the value of a legal tender, meaning they are subject to the price set by supply and demand, causing heightened volatility.
This refers to the electronic form of fiat money - a government-issued currency that is not backed by a commodity such as gold - issued by a nation’s central bank. Therefore, digital currencies - commonly known as a central bank digital currency (CBDC) - are centralised, meaning transactions within the network are regulated by the central bank.
By introducing such a currency that’s overseen by a central governmental authority, the element of anonymity that’s fundamental to the decentralised blockchain-ledger of cryptocurrencies is removed.
While a CBDC does not require encryption, users must secure their digital wallets (banking apps) with strong passwords to mitigate theft or hacking. Users must also secure their debit/credit cards with passwords.
CBDC is typically stable due to its association with a legal tender and its centralised status, making it relatively easy to manage transactions because of widespread acceptance in the global market.
CBDC vs. digital money
So, how does CBDC differ from the digital money we use everyday to make card and online transactions - which accounts for 97% of the circulating money supply?
CBDC, unlike digital money, never takes physical form. With digital money you have the option to go to a cashpoint and turn an electronic record of your currency holdings into physical cash. CBDC, on the other hand, always remains on a computer network and is exchanged via digital means. The currency, for use by households and businesses, sits alongside cash and bank deposits, rather than replacing them.
Digital money is not created by a central bank, but by commercial banks and large payment companies. Whereas, CBDC is a digital currency that’s issued, or proposed to be issued, by a central bank..
Current CBDC landscape
In recent years, central banks around the world have been tentatively exploring the concept of digital currency technology - according to the Bank for International Settlement (BIS), 86% of the world’s central banks are currently weighing up the potential risks and rewards of issuing a CBDC. While many countries are in the research and exploration phase of the future application of CBDCs, China has pushed ahead with development.
In April 2020, China piloted a digital currency across four cities, which it expanded to 28 major cities in August. China plans to test the digital currency in additional major cities, including Beijing and Shanghai, aiming for broad circulation in 2022. And while some users outside China - especially in the US - might be hesitant to use a digital currency controlled by the second largest economy in the world, early adoption in parts of Asia, Latin America and Africa is likely to proceed rapidly.
Crucially, as the front-runner in the global race to meet the world’s demand for digital currencies to settle international financial transactions and own digital assets, the appeal of its CBDC could rise sharply.
United Kingdom CBDC
The UK has embarked on its journey to a CBDC, joining dozens of other central banks around the world on the road to financial innovation.
In March 2020, the Bank of England (BoE) published a discussion paper on digital currencies, which noted that it would be issued in sterling, it would sit at the interface between cash and private payments systems, and it would not be a crypto asset, which can fluctuate in value compared with national currencies. A primary motivation for the BoE to examine CBDC appeared to be the threat of non-bank digital currencies - such as crypto-assets like bitcoin - issued by unregulated entities outside central banks’ scope.
In June 2021, the BoE issued a new discussion paper titled ‘New Forms of Digital Money’ that builds on its previous publication. In its foreword, the central bank outlined its path to investigating CBDCs:
“Over the past decade, there has been rapid innovation in how people make payments, and Covid-19 has accelerated these trends. The use of physical cash in payments continues to decline, and demand for convenience, especially with regard to e-commerce, has fuelled public appetite for digital payments. Fintech firms, and in some cases big technology firms, are developing alternatives to traditional forms of money...At the same time, central banks globally are exploring the possibility of issuing a digital form of central bank money – often referred to as Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC).”
In April 2021, the Treasury and BoE launched a joint task force to evaluate the creation of a CBDC to secure sterling against cryptocurrencies and improve the payments system. Having joined a worldwide trend for investigating CBDCs, chancellor Rishi Sunak said that Britain “need[ed] to go further” to remain at the forefront of financial innovation.
According to the BoE, the task force would assess whether a CBDC served a valuable purpose by examining the opportunities and risks presented, evaluating alternative technologies and reviewing developments elsewhere. It would then provide “a rigorous, coherent and comprehensive assessment of the overall case for a UK central bank digital currency”, it said in a statement.
In November 2021, it was announced that the BoE and the Treasury will launch a formal consultation on a UK CBDC - a further step towards its possible creation. The consultation, which will commence in 2022, will form part of a "research and exploration" stage and help the central bank and government to formalise plans.
The UK's CBDC is still very much in its planning phase and is not so far advanced as the Chinese currency, with the earliest date for its launch projected for the second half of the decade.
CBDC: the benefits
The potential benefits of these new digital assets and the government oversight that regulates them are compelling:
- greater prevention of online crime
- instantaneous international transactions
- reduced transaction costs
- financial democratisation
- direct fiscal stimulus for individual citizens
- ensures central banks retain control over monetary policy
In its recent discussion paper ‘New Forms of Digital Money’, the BoE highlights how a CBDC could be of value:
“A Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) could play an important role in sustaining, and potentially expanding, retail access to central bank money. Unlike cash, CBDC would be a new form of central bank money that is digital in nature. The Bank has not yet made a decision around CBDC but is actively exploring the opportunities and risks of doing so. A CBDC would be a public liability backed by the security and resources of the state. Where coupled with innovations such as programmable money and micropayments, a CBDC may increase the utility of central bank money when compared to cash. And it could support a resilient, innovative and competitive payments landscape.”
CBDC: the challenges
Central banks are not blind to the risks that the introduction of a CBDC presents, which is why they are proceeding with such caution. These include:
- Central banks might need to comply with know your customer rules to prevent the currency being used for terrorist financing or money laundering.
- The existence of a CBDC could undermine commercial banks. It would create direct competition for banks when people are deciding where to keep their money, which might deprive them of deposits on which they rely. This could restrict their ability to make loans to businesses and households, which could have a knock-on effect on the wider economy.
- A CBDC would, in theory, enable the state to monitor digital payments - creating privacy issues. The central bank would be subject to the same rules around privacy as other technology providers, including the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR).
- A CBDC would create substantial technology risks for the public sector and ultimately taxpayers, who could be left counting the cost of rapid and often experimental technologies.
- A CBDC would require centralisation, which would intensify already pernicious cyber vulnerabilities and increase the attack surface area for online criminals to include central banks.
The payments landscape
CBDCs represent potentially the most seismic shift in the monetary system since the introduction of the central bank monopoly on notes and coins almost 200 years ago. But the key word here is “potentially”. While much progress is being made by central banks across the globe to weigh up the potential value of issuing a CBDC, the analysis remains largely abstract to experimental - with major economies like the UK not expecting to be in a position to join the party for a few years. Meanwhile, the launch of pilot schemes in countries like China, Nigeria, Cambodia and the Bahamas is blazing a trail for a future CBDC ecosystem, but remain in their infancy.
CBDCs potential to subvert traditional online payment processes is very real, but against a backdrop of tentative exploration by central banks it appears to be a dot on the horizon. Therefore, until they become established and widespread, it’s business as usual when making international payments - with more pressing matters to be dealt with.
Currencies are traded around the clock - 24 hours a day. Therefore, the value of the pound against other currencies is constantly changing - not just daily but by the minute. Even slight fluctuations can make a big difference to the price of your business’s international payments.
Even before the pandemic struck this exposure to currency market risk had the potential to dent your bottom line if left unaccounted for. Since then, the importance of mitigating the impact of exchange rate fluctuations on the cost of your international payments has been magnified.
For example, back in March 2020, when the true extent of the Covid-19 pandemic became clear, the pound sunk to its lowest level against the dollar since 1985 and its lowest level against the euro since the depth of the financial crisis 11 years earlier.
This has brought the need to seek the services of a currency specialist into sharp focus for businesses with international payment requirements.
Clear Treasury are experts providing clients with the knowledge and tools they need to grow a successful international business. Against the backdrop of a global pandemic, this guidance and expertise are more crucial than ever. Our relationship-focused approach achieves long term success and is underpinned by our dedication to excellent customer service.
Whether you’re paying invoices, converting profits, or receiving payments, we understand how technology is at the core of how businesses operate in the modern digitally-enabled world. This has allowed us to develop a technology platform that seamlessly integrates our products and services into your ecosystem - removing the complexity and risk involved in making international payments.
Our knowledge and experience allow us to provide our clients with solutions and guidance that help their business thrive when engaged in international trade - both through our team of experts and our innovative technology.
You will be assigned a dedicated account manager who can help you to plan and establish a proactive hedging strategy. There’s no “one size fits all” approach to protecting your bottom line from the threat of currency risk. Therefore, a bespoke hedging strategy that aligns with your requirements, commercial context, and risk appetite will allow your business to execute effective solutions that sync with its aims.
What is a forward contract?
A forward contract is a foreign exchange agreement to buy one currency by selling another on a specified date within the next 12 months at a price agreed on now, known as the forward rate.
Goodwille – a Clear Treasury case study
Goodwille is a company whose need for effective foreign exchange management is fundamental to the very core of its business.
Mitigating currency risks for international businesses
Company growth can be defined in several ways. Most obviously, it refers to increasing revenues as a result of being in business, but it can also mean growing in terms of the number of people it employs, how many clients or customers it has or the number of offices or outlets it operates domestically and internationally.
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